Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.403815 19.751353 22.307995 25.300687 28.709930 32.475337 36.953145
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 14.144793 17.225766 20.830341 25.364889 30.926382 37.537134 46.010155
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 11.272367 14.621673 18.799997 24.408800 31.762926 41.107773 53.933224
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.083742 12.495772 17.015071 23.462137 32.463596 44.645854 62.487464
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.601997 11.055257 15.896325 23.214266 34.063896 49.662303 73.982361
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.527228 10.006758 15.155260 23.380675 36.298095 55.980968 88.582159
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.589412 9.007061 14.329034 23.290448 38.157116 62.105126 104.142721
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.994638 8.443294 14.083985 24.076524 41.558205 71.281567 126.499522
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.374996 7.736645 13.495650 24.199576 43.894003 79.146409 148.281436
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.733360 6.886349 12.527545 23.496916 44.662716 84.437471 166.560263
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.252123 6.245380 11.827996 23.164624 46.063973 91.166017 189.049925
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.966406 5.925155 11.672056 23.849130 49.578360 102.655135 223.671206
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.729452 5.673463 11.632235 24.816661 53.983817 117.072096 268.391616
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.449511 5.287563 11.260993 25.033968 56.869264 128.924347 310.375311
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.122765 4.747132 10.477054 24.210502 57.294037 135.453598 341.577557
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.843553 4.264867 9.740833 23.364451 57.519053 141.625313 373.599103
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.649360 3.944860 9.319244 23.191473 59.368875 152.195129 419.891134
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.504244 3.716883 9.075937 23.417574 62.299584 166.193842 479.320034
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.362033 3.471880 8.750496 23.375158 64.532342 178.888481 538.561726
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.279014 3.363353 8.750391 24.204093 69.358918 199.866282 628.436762
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.173808 3.178551 8.521128 24.360058 72.317174 216.209957 708.562066
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.046824 2.913158 8.031046 23.677712 72.657964 224.873860 766.244251
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.949130 2.712967 7.687390 23.362668 74.071274 237.221888 840.147155